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Operation analysis of my country's industrial textile industry in the first half of 2022

Click: Time:2022-08-22 13:46:53 From:中国产业用纺织品行业协会

Since 2022, the domestic and international situation has been complicated and changeable. The expected triple pressure and the two unexpected shocks have caused a great impact on the stable operation of the industrial textile industry. In the first quarter, the industry's industrial added value returned to positive growth, but the industry's economy, production and demand were slow to recover; in the second quarter, driven by the steady growth policy, the industry's industrial added value continued to grow, the decline in major economic indicators continued to narrow, and production and demand gradually Recovery, but the downward pressure on the industry still exists. In the first half of 2022, the prosperity index of the industrial textile industry is 46.9, which is in the contraction range.

  一、Domestic demand needs to pick up urgently, and the utilization rate of production capacity has picked up

  According to the association's survey on member companies, 47.1% and 46.0% of the respondents indicated that the domestic and international market demand had declined to varying degrees in the first half of this year (Figure 1). The domestic and international market demand indices were 38.8 and 38.8 respectively 35.1, compared with January to April (39.7 and 33.2), the domestic market demand decreased slightly, and the international market demand rebounded. In terms of different fields, the domestic market for structural enhancement textiles is strong, and the domestic market demand index of 68.8 is the highest in the industry; the international market has relatively high demand for transportation textiles, geotextiles and construction textiles. were 53.9 and 52.8.

  Data source: China Nonwovens&Industrial Textiles Association

  Figure 1 Domestic and international market demand for industrial textiles in the first half of 2022

  In terms of orders on hand, 26.4% of the respondents have a relatively stable and continuous source of orders or the orders on hand can support production for more than three months, while 34.4% of the respondents have orders on hand that can only support the company for less than one month. production. According to the size of the enterprise, the orders on hand of large and medium-sized enterprises are more stable and sufficient, and can support longer-term production; while the orders on hand of small and micro enterprises can only support production within one month or even less than half a month (Figure 2) .

  Data source: China Nonwovens&Industrial Textiles Association

  Figure 2 On-hand orders of enterprises in the industrial textile industry in the first half of 2022 (by enterprise scale)

  Despite the sluggish market demand, with the effect of the policy of ensuring the smooth flow of logistics, the delivery cycle of enterprises has gradually shortened, and the operating rate of the industry has generally increased. According to the association's survey, 10.5% of enterprises indicated that they were able to produce at full capacity, an increase of 2.9 percentage points from January to April, and 42.4% of enterprises indicated that the capacity utilization rate was around 80%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points from January to April. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June 2022, the output of nonwovens of enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, but the decline was narrowing month by month; affected by the decline in automobile production and sales, the output of cord fabric decreased by 4.8% year-on-year.

  二、The industry is under pressure, and the high-cost pattern continues

  In the first half of 2022, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size in my country's industrial textile industry showed a steady rebound (Figure 3). According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the operating income of enterprises above designated size in the industry is basically the same as that of the same period in 2021, the total profit fell by 16.8% year-on-year, and the profit margin was 4.9%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.9 percentage points.

  Data source: National Bureau of Statistics

  Figure 3 Comparison of the growth rate of industrial added value

  Compared with the same period in 2021, the increase in operating costs is the main reason for the decline in the total profit of the industry when operating income has almost recovered to the level of the same period. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that while the operating income of the industrial textile industry fell by 0.9% year-on-year, the industry's operating cost increased by 0.3% year-on-year, and the industry's gross profit margin decreased by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. According to the association's research, the industry's raw material cost index and labor cost index in the first half of the year reached 82.4 and 78.3, respectively, an increase from the same period in 2021 (79.3 and 76.3). Due to the pressure of competition, the increase in operating costs has put pressure on the industry companies to bear the pressure of price differences. In the first half of the year, the industry product price index was only 40.6, which was in the contraction range. More than 80% of the respondents said that the prices of major products remained unchanged or even decreased.

  From January to June, the operating income and total profit of nonwovens enterprises above designated size decreased by 4.6% and 36.1% year-on-year, respectively, and the profit margin was 4.2%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1 percentage points; Operating income and total profit increased by 1.3% and 9.0% year-on-year respectively, and the profit margin was 5.1%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year; the operating income and total profit of enterprises above the scale of textile belts and cord fabrics decreased by 2.5% and 6.2% year-on-year respectively. The growth rate was 5.4%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2 percentage points; the awning and canvas industries developed well, the operating income and total profit of enterprises above designated size increased by 11.4% and 23.9% year-on-year respectively, and the profit rate was 6.1%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year; The operating income and total profit of other industrial textile enterprises above designated size, where geotextiles are located, both recovered to positive growth, increasing by 1.6% and 0.8% year-on-year respectively, with a profit margin of 5.3%, basically the same as the same period in 2021 (Table 1).

  Table 1 Main economic indicators of industry operation from January to June 2022 (enterprises above designated size)

      

                                                                                                                                Data source: Compiled from the data of the National Bureau of Statistics

  三、Foreign trade shows a recovery trend, and the decline in exports continues to narrow

  According to China Customs data, from January to June 2022, the export value of my country's industrial textile industry (statistical data of customs 8-digit HS code) was 23.25 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 13.6%, and the decline has narrowed for 5 consecutive months since February. ; From January to June, the industry import value (the statistics of the customs 8-digit HS code) was 3.25 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 14.2%. From the perspective of major export products, the booming overseas "camping economy" has made felt cloth/tent the largest export product in the industry, with an export value of US$2.67 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%; industrial coated fabrics, cords (cables) belts The export value of traditional products such as textiles, canvas, and leather base cloth increased by 28.0%, 16.2%, 31.7%, and 17.9% year-on-year respectively. The export of non-woven fabrics and related products showed different trends. The export of coil materials was 2.03 billion US dollars, down 15.3% year-on-year, and the export volume was 612,000 tons, down 16.6% year-on-year; masks and chemical fiber non-woven fabric protective clothing (including medical protective clothing) The export value of disposable hygiene products decreased by 68.2% and 60.2% year-on-year respectively; the export of disposable hygiene products was 1.37 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%; the export value of wet wipes was 540 million US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 17.4% (Table 2).

  Table 2 Industrial textile industry and export of main products from January to June 2022

 Data source: Compiled from China Customs data

  四、Difficulties and challenges facing the current industry

  According to the association's survey of member companies, the decline in market demand and the increase in operating costs are the main difficulties faced by the interviewed companies in the business process. Difficulty in expanding overseas markets, lack of professional talents and loss of customers are also problems that companies report more, see the table. 3.

                                                                                     Table 3 The main difficulties faced by the interviewed companies

   Data source: China Nonwovens&Industrial Textiles Association

  Regarding the main external challenges currently faced by the industry, the problems reported by the interviewed companies mainly focus on the large fluctuations in raw material prices and the rapid expansion of industry production capacity. In addition, the decline in the demand for epidemic prevention materials, the obstruction of business activities and the high sea freight are also reflected by the companies. more problems (Table 4). The interviewed companies are generally optimistic about competition from low-cost countries. They have strong confidence in their product quality, customer relationships and innovation capabilities, and have the confidence and ability to participate in global competition.

  Table 4 Main external challenges faced by the interviewed companies

  Data source: China Nonwovens&Industrial Textiles Association

  五、Annual Development Forecast

  At present, the domestic and foreign environment is becoming more severe and complex, and the industry is facing many risks and challenges to stabilize growth. Enterprises are generally cautious about the industry's expectations for the operation of the industry throughout the year. According to the survey of the association, the confidence index of the interviewed enterprises was 54.8, which was in a relatively prosperous range. Among them, the enterprises of textiles for structural enhancement, textiles for sails, and textiles for transportation were relatively optimistic about the development of the whole year.

  In the second half of 2022, as a series of policies and measures such as tax reduction and fee reduction, strengthening financial support, continuously optimizing the business environment, and strengthening energy and raw material supply and price stabilization continue to work, it is expected that the industry's production will resume growth throughout the year. ; The operating income of the industry will re-enter the rising channel, and the decline in total profits will be further narrowed and is expected to return to the same level in 2021; the pace of industry investment will slow down, and investment in new production capacity will become more rational; the external demand market will continue to repair, traditional products Exports will continue the good momentum.

  Note: From January 1, 2022, the customs codes of some commodities in the industrial textile industry have been adjusted. Due to the lack of year-on-year data of the same caliber, the year-on-year growth rate of imports and exports of the industry released in this issue is for reference only.

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